Betting Odds - Graffiti - Podcast

Betting Odds - AFC favored in Super Bowl

As you consider Super Bowl betting odds you may want to look at the stats of each team. ATS stats show us New England is 10-7 against the spread this season heading into the AFC Championship game but they are only 2-7 ATS in their last eight games. That might concern those looking to take them in Super Bowl betting odds. They have gone over the total in 11 of their 17 games which might make the over attractive in Super Bowl betting odds. San Diego is 13-5 ATS and 11 of their 18 games have gone over the total. In the NFC the Packers are a league-best 13-3-1 against the spread and punters might take them in Super Bowl betting. They were 10-5-2 to the Over which makes the total look attractive in Super Bowl betting odds. The Giants are 12-6 ATS and are 9-9 on totals.

Oddsmakers have Super Bowl betting odds with the AFC nearly a two touchdown favorite over the NFC. Most experts believe that New England will beat San Diego and that the Patriots will be a two touchdown favorite over either Green Bay or the New York Giants in Super Bowl betting odds.

Super Bowl betting odds would actually have the Patriots favored by about 17 points if they played the Giants. What could upset the apple cart is if the Patriots lose against San Diego. Then the Super Bowl betting odds on the AFC drop like a rock. The Chargers would be less than a TD favorite over either Green Bay or the Giants. As you consider Super Bowl betting you might want to know that heading into the Conference Championships underdogs are holding their own. This NFL playoff season has seen the underdogs go 5-3 against the spread.

As you consider Super Bowl betting odds you might want to know that over/unders in the playoffs so far are right down the middle with four games going over and four going under. Traditionally, Super Bowl betting odds have seen the favorites do well in the Super Bowl and the games be high scoring. That trend has slowed in recent years in terms of the total though as the last two Super Bowls have gone under the total in Super Bowl betting. This year’s Super Bowl betting total could be one of the highest ever if New England plays Green Bay. The Patriots are the highest scoring team in NFL history and Green Bay is no slouch either. A total near 60 would not be a surprise in Super Bowl betting odds.

The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Jets hope to begin turning around their dismal seasons when they meet Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium.

The Bengals (1-4) have lost four straight, including a disappointing 27-20 loss at Kansas City last weekend coming off their bye week. Cincinnati is mired in last place in the AFC North, a division they won in 2005 before missing the playoffs last year.

It’s also the first four-game skid for Bengals coach Marvin Lewis, who claims he is not feeling any pressure for the poor start. Cincinnati is on its longest slide since a six-game losing streak from Nov. 10-Dec. 15, 2002, the season before Lewis was hired.

“I guess I’ll disappoint the fans if they think there’s heat,” Lewis said. “My only heat is internal and that’s what drives me. That’s the good thing, I guess, about this position. I’m not going to get concerned.

“Our margin for error is tight. That’s the result of being 1-4. That’s what we need to realize. Every play right now, we’re not getting the benefit of the doubt. Balls are not really bouncing our way. That’s what we need to realize and keep doing things the right way. Building upon the positive things and making corrections when it’s not as positive and correct.”

One of the problems Cincinnati has faced is a slew of injuries, including to star running back Rudi Johnson (hamstring). He sat out a 34-13 loss to New England on Oct. 1, and had only four carries against the Chiefs. Johnson has 185 rushing yards on 62 carries and just one touchdown catch.

Right tackle Willie Anderson missed last week’s loss with foot and knee injuries. The offensive line has used four different combinations in Cincinnati’s first five games.

The lack of a productive running game has put pressure on quarterback Carson Palmer and receivers Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh, who have combined for 1,083 yards and 10 of Cincinnati’s 13 offensive touchdowns. Houshmandzadeh has seven of those scores, two shy of his career-best set in 14 games last season.

New York (1-5) enters on a three-game losing streak, and quarterback Chad Pennington has taken the brunt of the blame. Pennington has thrown all six of his interceptions this season during the skid, including one in a 16-9 loss to Philadelphia last week - the first time the Jets failed to reach the end zone this year.

With fans and media clamoring for backup Kellen Clemens to be inserted, coach Eric Mangini is sticking with Pennington.

“There’s a lot of different areas that need to get better: interceptions, tackling, run fits, all those things, coaching, strategy,” Mangini said. “All those things need to improve and we’re all in this together. It’s not a one-person issue.”

Pennington completed a season-low 11 of 21 passes for 128 yards in last week’s loss as the Jets’ offense stalled despite a season-high 130 yards rushing from Thomas Jones. Tight end Chris Baker also criticized New York’s play-calling, but receiver Jerricho Cotchery backed Pennington.

“He’s our leader,” Cotchery said. “He’s the leader of this team, not only on offense. One guy isn’t going to create a spark because each individual has to create that spark within himself to help this team out. I think that’s kind of a sensitive topic because everyone loves Chad in this building.”

Jones’ effort was a bright spot. Acquired from Chicago in the offseason, he is averaging just 2.8 yards per carry on the road.

The Jets’ defense also ranks among the bottom five teams in the NFL with six sacks and two forced fumbles.

New York has won five straight against Cincinnati, including a 31-24 victory on Sept. 12, 2004 in the last meeting.

NOTE: Cincy’s year for all practical purposes ended last week in K.C. and the Jets have been abismal. Yet someone has to lose this game. Everyone has been able to run against the Bengals, yet the Jets are no major threat in the running game even though Thomas Jones have over 100 yards last week vs the Eagles. No question I have the better QB here in Palmer with his go to guy in Chad Johnson. IF the Bengals lose this one AT HOME, this franchise and the fans of Cincy will witness a bigger melt down than Chernobyl.

I’m on the Bengals only for action at -6 Good Luck,

Tommy Mac

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GAME NOTES: The 22nd-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders bring their high-flying act to Columbia to take on the 15th-ranked Missouri Tigers in what should be a thrilling Big 12 Conference affair. Texas Tech has won three straight to move to 6-1 on the year. Last week’s 35-7 pasting of rival Texas A&M earned the Red Raiders their first national ranking since late 2005, and marks the team’s 15th straight season in which it will participate in a bowl game. Tech is 2-1 in conference play and its only loss of the season came on the road at Oklahoma State on September 22nd. As for Missouri, it suffered its first loss of the campaign last weekend, falling to Big 12 bully Oklahoma, 41-31, in Norman. The setback means the Tigers are now 1-1 in conference. They are however, unbeaten at home this season (3-0) and are a stellar 22-6 in Columbia since the 2003 season. Texas Tech is the third straight ranked foe Mizzou has faced. The Red Raiders and Tigers have met just six times previously, with the latter holding a 4-2 series advantage. Missouri has won four of the five meetings since the formation of the Big 12, including a 38-21 decision in Lubbock last season.

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Boasting the nation’s most prolific passing attack, the Red Raiders come into this contest looking to make a statement. Led by QB Graham Harrell, Texas Tech is averaging 50 points and 582 yards of total offense per game. Harrell has completed an eye-popping 74.4 percent of his passes and is averaging 450 ypg through the air. He has 31 TD passes against only three INTs — all remarkable stats considering how often coach Mike Leach has Harrell looking downfield. As a result of Harrell’s exploits, Michael Crabtree has taken his game to another level as evidenced by his 78 receptions, 1,244 yards and 17 TDs in just seven games. Danny Amendola has also benefitted from the pass-happy attack, hauling in 60 balls for 755 yards and five scores. When Tech decides to keep the ball on the ground, it is Shannon Woods who gets the call most often, and he has responded with 409 yards and eight TDs, averaging a robust 5.5 ypc along the way. Harrell threw for 425 yards and three TDs while rushing for another score in last week’s dismantling of Texas A&M. Crabtree finished with eight receptions for 170 yards, but was held without a TD catch for the first time this season. Helping the cause, Woods rumbled his way to 93 yards and a score.

Texas A&M gained 366 yards in last week’s clash, including 233 on the ground. The Aggies averaged 5.4 yards per rushing attempt, clearly taking advantage of Texas Tech’s front line. Still, the Red Raiders allowed just 133 yards passing and held TAMU to just a 5-of-13 success rate on third down. Joe Garcia led the Tech stand with 11 tackles, while Darcel McBath was hot on his heels with 10. The Red Raiders failed to log a sack in the game and came up with just one turnover. So far this season, opponents have been rather balanced in their approach to attacking the Texas Tech defense, rushing for 163.3 ypg and passing for 178.6 ypg. Garcia is the team’s top tackler, having logged 43 stops to this point, while Marlon Williams and Paul Williams are just off the pace with 42 and 41 stops, respectively. With just 15 sacks and 12 takeaways, the Tech defense is rather average in terms of big-play ability. Jamar Wall has three of the team’s six interceptions.

While Harrell is arguably the nation’s top signal caller, Missouri’s Chase Daniel can certainly hold his own. Daniel comes into this contest ranked fifth in the country in total offense (376.7 ypg), and he is hitting 68.9 percent of his passes for 345.5 ypg with 16 TDs against just six INTs. Martin Rucker is the team’s leading pass catcher (44 receptions, 474 yards, three TDs), and Chase Coffman (34 receptions, 341 yards, three TDs) is enjoying a solid season as well despite starting just once in six games. The Tigers held a narrow lead over Oklahoma in the fourth quarter of last week’s Big 12 tilt, but a costly turnover gave the Sooners the momentum they would need to post the 10-point victory. Daniel was highly efficient in completing 37-of-47 passes for 361 yards and a TD, but two picks proved costly. Coffman led all receivers with 10 grabs for 102 yards, and the Mizzou ground assault managed just 57 net yards, with Jeremy Maclin leading the way with 32 yards on just four totes. He did score a pair of TDs, however, to help keep the Tigers in contention.

The Missouri defense held the Sooners to 118 yards rushing last week, but three TDs on the ground helped power Oklahoma to victory. Mizzou defenders pounced on two fumbles, but the Sooners were successful on 10 of their 14 third-down conversion attempts and scored on all five trips to the red zone. Mizzou’s Brock Christopher and Sean Weatherspoon both tallied double-digit stops in the contest with 12 and 10, respectively, and the two currently rank sit atop the team’s tackles chart for the season. Christopher is tied for the club lead in TFLs with five, while Weatherspoon has posted 57 total stops and has broken up four passes. Foes are putting up 24.5 ppg behind 403.2 total ypg this year, with the pass being their most productive mode of attack (265.3 ypg).

I’m on the OVER 74

Good Luck,

Tommy Mac

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A report in the Sunday Express suggests that soccer stud, David Beckham, may be leaving his American dream behind him and heading back to England.

“He is seeking crisis talks with bosses of LA Galaxy to discuss a possible return to England on loan in January,” the paper reported.

Bosses at Galaxy, who are struggling at the foot of their league, will consider cutting their losses when their season ends on October 21 and allow Beckham to return home temporarily in the hope that if he achieves his England dream he will return refreshed to help them fulfil their own aspirations.

Galaxy general manager Alexei Lalas said: “We would never stand in the way of a player representing his country. David’s love of England and the honour it is for him to represent his country is evident from the first time you talk to him.

“We need to sit down with him and do what’s best for our organisation and him.”

During the SuperLiga final match against Pachuca on 29 August, Beckham seriously injured his right knee in a challenge with Fernando Salazar in the 30th minute. The Galaxy went on to lose the match in penalties. An MRI scan the following day revealed that Beckham had sprained his medial collateral ligament (MCL) and that he would be out for six weeks.

A Galaxy spokesman refuted an earlier report that Beckham had also undergone arthroscopic surgery. The news comes as a massive blow to the struggling Galaxy, England, and Beckham, as he will now miss several key matches for the Galaxy and England. However, some believe that there may be a silver lining, as it will force Beckham to rest until his problematic left ankle is fully healed before returning to the pitch.

(Friday, August 17th)

Final Score: Atlanta 13, Buffalo 10

Orchard Park, NY - Rookie tight end George Cooper caught a one-yard touchdown pass from Chris Redman late in the fourth quarter to give the Atlanta Falcons a 13-10 victory over the Buffalo Bills in preseason action at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

Joey Harrington started at quarterback for Atlanta in place of Michael Vick and completed 4-of-7 passes for 31 yards with an interception in limited action.

As the Falcons look to distance themselves further from the Vick situation, the drama surrounding the case continued Friday. Vick’s two remaining co- defendants pleaded guilty to federal conspiracy dogfighting charges Friday, leaving the signal caller as the lone co-defendant still maintaining his innocence. Whether Vick continues that stance, with the possibility of all three co-defendants testifying against him in court, or accepts a plea deal and likely jail time, remains to be seen.

Redman ended 11-of-21 for 90 yards with an interception while third-string quarterback D.J. Shockley left the game in the fourth quarter with a left leg injury.

J.P. Losman played into the second quarter for Buffalo and went 7-of-13 for 78 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. Rookie Trent Edwards replaced Losman and was effective, throwing for 101 yards and a touchdown.

Rookie Marshawn Lynch, who is expected to get the bulk of the carries this season for Buffalo, rushed for 16 yards on five attempts.

After a scoreless opening quarter, the Bills struck first as Rian Lindell booted a 48-yard field goal for the game’s first points with 11:30 left in the second stanza.

Billy Cundiff’s 32-yard field goal with 5:31 to play until halftime tied the game at 3-3, and the Falcons moved in front about three minutes later as Cundiff drilled a 46-yarder.

The Bills grabbed a 10-6 lead early in the third quarter as Edwards completed a 10-yard touchdown pass to Roscoe Parrish.

With just 2:44 remaining in the contest, Redman found Cooper in the end zone to put the Falcons in front.

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By Sniper, Contributing Editor to Bonusbabe.com

Although it’s the top tournament players that get the media exposure and become household names that all the young players want to emulate it’s the cash games where the real players can be found.

While it may be viewed as a challenge to take on and beat the best players in the world in most other sports, in poker cash game play to make money is the most important thing. You could be the tenth best player in the world, but if you only ever play on a table with the top 9 players you will be a loser.

Even though many people have side jobs to help support their bankroll, making sure you have enough money for the game at hand is crucial.

The general rule that most good players follow when playing a cash game is that you need at least 10 chances to win an all-in on a cash table, meaning that you must have a bankroll that can handle at least 10 buy-ins before even thinking about sitting down to play. Most of the time, I keep a bankroll that gives me at least 30 buy-ins, to ensure that I never go bust.

Omaha Hi Lo Strategy

Smart Omaha Hi/Lo players find this poker game to be one of the most beatable, for a steady low variance earn rate. The reason for this is because Omaha Hi/Lo strategy is so difficult, due to the complexities involved in calculating odds, that very few players can learn to master this game.

No Limit Hold’em Strategy

If you can’t stand playing sitting back and waiting forever for a decent hand, then No Limit Hold’em is your poker game. The structure of No Limit Hold’em allows you to play a wider selection of hands, because it doesn’t cost much to enter a pot, in comparison to how much you can win. Still, you have to be careful after the flop, because you can lose your entire stack in one hand.

Razz Strategy

Razz is like played out like Stud Hi/Lo, without the high. The goal is to get the lowest possible five card hand, with A2345 being the nuts. Suits don’t have any effect, and pairing cards hurts you, because you at least need five unique cards for a hand. Razz becomes a game of psychological warfare that revolves around figuring out what your opponents hidden cards are.

Heads Up Poker Strategy

Playing one on one will take most of the variables out of the game and let the better player shine in the long run. A strong understanding of your opponent, mixing up your playing style, and utilizing various poker tactics are key to playing successful heads up poker. You should focus heavily on game selection and going after weaker opponents when choosing a heads up cash game.

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Tommy Mac