Archive for the 'NCAA Football' Category

FREE PICK College Football (22) Texas Tech (6-1) at (15) Missouri (5-1)

Saturday, October 20th, 2007

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GAME NOTES: The 22nd-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders bring their high-flying act to Columbia to take on the 15th-ranked Missouri Tigers in what should be a thrilling Big 12 Conference affair. Texas Tech has won three straight to move to 6-1 on the year. Last week’s 35-7 pasting of rival Texas A&M earned the Red Raiders their first national ranking since late 2005, and marks the team’s 15th straight season in which it will participate in a bowl game. Tech is 2-1 in conference play and its only loss of the season came on the road at Oklahoma State on September 22nd. As for Missouri, it suffered its first loss of the campaign last weekend, falling to Big 12 bully Oklahoma, 41-31, in Norman. The setback means the Tigers are now 1-1 in conference. They are however, unbeaten at home this season (3-0) and are a stellar 22-6 in Columbia since the 2003 season. Texas Tech is the third straight ranked foe Mizzou has faced. The Red Raiders and Tigers have met just six times previously, with the latter holding a 4-2 series advantage. Missouri has won four of the five meetings since the formation of the Big 12, including a 38-21 decision in Lubbock last season.

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Boasting the nation’s most prolific passing attack, the Red Raiders come into this contest looking to make a statement. Led by QB Graham Harrell, Texas Tech is averaging 50 points and 582 yards of total offense per game. Harrell has completed an eye-popping 74.4 percent of his passes and is averaging 450 ypg through the air. He has 31 TD passes against only three INTs — all remarkable stats considering how often coach Mike Leach has Harrell looking downfield. As a result of Harrell’s exploits, Michael Crabtree has taken his game to another level as evidenced by his 78 receptions, 1,244 yards and 17 TDs in just seven games. Danny Amendola has also benefitted from the pass-happy attack, hauling in 60 balls for 755 yards and five scores. When Tech decides to keep the ball on the ground, it is Shannon Woods who gets the call most often, and he has responded with 409 yards and eight TDs, averaging a robust 5.5 ypc along the way. Harrell threw for 425 yards and three TDs while rushing for another score in last week’s dismantling of Texas A&M. Crabtree finished with eight receptions for 170 yards, but was held without a TD catch for the first time this season. Helping the cause, Woods rumbled his way to 93 yards and a score.

Texas A&M gained 366 yards in last week’s clash, including 233 on the ground. The Aggies averaged 5.4 yards per rushing attempt, clearly taking advantage of Texas Tech’s front line. Still, the Red Raiders allowed just 133 yards passing and held TAMU to just a 5-of-13 success rate on third down. Joe Garcia led the Tech stand with 11 tackles, while Darcel McBath was hot on his heels with 10. The Red Raiders failed to log a sack in the game and came up with just one turnover. So far this season, opponents have been rather balanced in their approach to attacking the Texas Tech defense, rushing for 163.3 ypg and passing for 178.6 ypg. Garcia is the team’s top tackler, having logged 43 stops to this point, while Marlon Williams and Paul Williams are just off the pace with 42 and 41 stops, respectively. With just 15 sacks and 12 takeaways, the Tech defense is rather average in terms of big-play ability. Jamar Wall has three of the team’s six interceptions.

While Harrell is arguably the nation’s top signal caller, Missouri’s Chase Daniel can certainly hold his own. Daniel comes into this contest ranked fifth in the country in total offense (376.7 ypg), and he is hitting 68.9 percent of his passes for 345.5 ypg with 16 TDs against just six INTs. Martin Rucker is the team’s leading pass catcher (44 receptions, 474 yards, three TDs), and Chase Coffman (34 receptions, 341 yards, three TDs) is enjoying a solid season as well despite starting just once in six games. The Tigers held a narrow lead over Oklahoma in the fourth quarter of last week’s Big 12 tilt, but a costly turnover gave the Sooners the momentum they would need to post the 10-point victory. Daniel was highly efficient in completing 37-of-47 passes for 361 yards and a TD, but two picks proved costly. Coffman led all receivers with 10 grabs for 102 yards, and the Mizzou ground assault managed just 57 net yards, with Jeremy Maclin leading the way with 32 yards on just four totes. He did score a pair of TDs, however, to help keep the Tigers in contention.

The Missouri defense held the Sooners to 118 yards rushing last week, but three TDs on the ground helped power Oklahoma to victory. Mizzou defenders pounced on two fumbles, but the Sooners were successful on 10 of their 14 third-down conversion attempts and scored on all five trips to the red zone. Mizzou’s Brock Christopher and Sean Weatherspoon both tallied double-digit stops in the contest with 12 and 10, respectively, and the two currently rank sit atop the team’s tackles chart for the season. Christopher is tied for the club lead in TFLs with five, while Weatherspoon has posted 57 total stops and has broken up four passes. Foes are putting up 24.5 ppg behind 403.2 total ypg this year, with the pass being their most productive mode of attack (265.3 ypg).

I’m on the OVER 74

Good Luck,

Tommy Mac

Week 7 NFL - Betting Odds Graffiti Wall Podcast

Wednesday, October 17th, 2007

Betting77.com

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Tommy Mac here with a Quick Hit Podcast and update for Week 7 in the NFL and College Football.

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Your welcome to join us and have a HUGE WINNING WEEKEND..

Tommy Mac

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Bookies 7 Secrets - Odds He’s Hiding

Tuesday, September 4th, 2007

Bookies 7 Secrets - Odds He's Hiding

San Jose Costa Rica - Professional sports bettor and handicapper Tommy Mac, has just released his latest E-Book, ” Bookies 7 Secrets - Odds He’s Hiding.

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Football Season 2007-08 Graffiti Podcast

Thursday, August 16th, 2007

What Me Worry?

Hi GUYS, this is Professional Handicapper Tommy Mac talking to you today from my office here in beautiful San Jose Costa Rica..overlooking the panoramic view Sabana Sur Park..and thanks for your interest in my VIP Late Steam Phone Service..our VIP Coaches Club or my on-line Guaranteed Crush Shots for the 2007-08 Football season.

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Tommy Mac

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NOTICE: Bookmark Betting77.com NEW Domain For Graffiti Wall

Monday, August 6th, 2007

San Jose Costa Rica - As of this afternoon - Betting Odds - Graffiti Wall has been officially moved to it’s new home domain at: www.betting77.com

Here we will be able to better serve our Graffiti Wall Odds readers and expand the site into directions that will greatly enhance your betting information and abilities.

BETTING ODDS - GRAFFITI - PODCAST will remain here at this URL strictly for our week to week podcasts.

Thanking you the daily readers for your continued support

President CEO

Tommy Mac

2nd Half Betting NFL & College Football

Saturday, August 4th, 2007

This is a Graffiti Wall - Quick Hit - Handicapping Tip - Session 7

This was originally in Episode # 5 and has been edited, isolating some of my strategies of how to bet the 2nd half in the NFL and College Football.

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2nd Half Betting NFL & College Football

Saturday, August 4th, 2007

This is a Graffiti Wall - Quick Hit - Handicapping Tip - Session 7

This was originally in Episode # 5 and has been edited, isolating some of my strategies of how to bet the 2nd half in the NFL and College Football.

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LSU RB Broussard to leave team

Wednesday, July 25th, 2007

Baton Rouge, LA - Louisiana State University running back Alley Broussard announced on Tuesday he is leaving the football team.

Broussard, a senior from Lafayette, La., said he will remain in school at LSU, where he is scheduled to graduate in December.

Broussard has played in 35 games, starting eight times in four years with the Tigers. He finished his career with 1,537 yards rushing and 18 touchdowns. Broussard missed all of the 2005 season due to a knee injury but returned to the Tigers backfield last year, rushing for 281 yards and four touchdowns on 74 carries.

WAC: Boise State or Hawaii?

Tuesday, July 24th, 2007

By Jeff Frank

Not only did the Broncos sweep their eight conference games last season, they finished the season undefeated after “hook and laddering” Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl. Boise State ended the campaign 13-0 with a fifth-place finish in the final AP Poll.

The WAC improved dramatically with a 6-14 record against BCS schools, much better than its 0-16 mark from 2005. The league also finished above .500 ATS in non-conference games at 18-17. The top four teams won three bowl games with the only loss coming from Nevada, a one-point defeat, at the hands of Miami- Florida. All four schools (Boise State, Hawaii, San Jose State and Nevada) covered the spread.

Can Boise repeat as WAC champions or will Hawaii reel off an undefeated season as a lot of writers are predicting? The Broncos are 100-1 to win the BCS National Championship Game while the Rainbows are 300-1. The other seven clubs are part of the field, currently listed at 50-1. Let’s take an inside look at the conference:

1) BOISE STATE - The Broncos had won 31 consecutive league games until Fresno State squashed them 27-7 in 2005. How did they respond to that defeat? How about 10 straight conference wins to move to 41-1 in their last 42 WAC games! Strengths - Ian Johnson rambled to the end zone 25 times last season to go along with 1,713 yards. The offensive line returns four starters from last year and is by far the biggest and best in the conference. The defense will be strong as well, despite losing two of its top three tacklers. Remember, only three starters returned in the 2001 season and the defense allowed just one- half point more per game than the year before. Weaknesses - A new quarterback must call the shots in Boise after three-year starter Jared Zabransky leaves. In addition, the top four pass-catchers all depart. Bottom line - In Zabransky’s first year, the Broncos ended the regular season with a perfect 11-0 record so back-to-back undefeated seasons is not out of the question. However, look for them to lose at Hawaii on November 23 ruining their 26-game winning streak. The last time Boise failed to go over .500 against the spread was back in 1998 so don’t look for it to happen in 2007.

2) HAWAII - June Jones breathed a sigh of relief the day Colt Brennan decided to remain in Honolulu. The senior quarterback’s two main reasons for returning are to reach a BCS bowl game and finish off his career with an undefeated season. Strengths - The Rainbows led the nation in scoring, passing and total offense last year as Brennan threw for 58 TDs and over 5,500 yards, completing 73% of his passes. Heck, the punter came on the field only seven times the final eight games! Weaknesses - Going into last season, the offensive line had a combined 88 lifetime starts. This season, that number is down to 31 as two first team and one second-team WAC linemen depart. The defensive line was also hit hard as two all-conference performers will be applying their trade in the NFL this season. Defensive coordinator Jerry Glanville, who was the architect of the “D” that shaved off 14 ppg since 2004, leaves the program after accepting a head coaching position at Portland State. Bottom line - Even though the Rainbows will knock off Boise State, they will drop two conference games prior to their match-up with the Broncos. Expect a 10-2 record, 6-2 in conference play. They are a solid team to bet against as the public will jump all over them this season.

3) NEW MEXICO STATE - The Aggies failed to win a single game in Hal Mumme’s first season in Las Cruces. Last year, they won four games and have a great shot at doubling that in ‘07. Strengths - New Mexico State had an amazing 15 more plays per game than its opposition last year which was tops in the country. That’s one reason Chase Holbrook had such a stellar season, throwing for over 4,600 yards with 34 TDs against just nine interceptions. Running back Justine Buries missed the last 10 games last year and his return will be a huge boost to the explosive offense. The defense was wrought with injuries, including the death of a linebacker, prior to the season. Even so, the Aggies allowed eight points less per game and almost a half-yard less per rush. More improvement is expected in ‘07. Weaknesses - The Aggies finished last in WAC play allowing 24 sacks and next to last in offensive turnovers with 21. Bottom line - New Mexico State owns the nation’s longest bowl drought of all teams that have played in at least one bowl game (46 years). That streak will end this season with an 8-4 mark and a three-way tie for third place in the WAC at 5-3. The Aggies will also have one of the top ATS records in the country!

4) FRESNO STATE - What an awful season it was for Fresno last year. The Bulldogs lost more games (eight) than they did the previous two regular seasons combined and at one point had dropped seven in a row! Strengths - The offensive line, which opened holes for five yards a carry last year, returns four starters. Injuries on the defensive side of the ball killed Fresno State last year and the unit as a whole will improve on its worst showing in over a decade. Weaknesses - The offense, without consistency at the QB position, scored just 23 ppg, down 15 points from the previous season. Only two clubs (Utah State and Michigan State) had a worse defensive TD-INT ratio as the Bulldogs allowed 26 passing touchdowns and intercepted only five balls. Bottom line - The last time, prior to ‘06, that Fresno State finished under .500 was back in 1998. The following season the Bulldogs won eight games. Don’t expect that type of turnaround this year, but 6-6 and 5-3 in WAC play will be a respectable season. In addition, they won’t finish 2-10 ATS like they did in ‘06.

5) NEVADA - The Wolf Pack have won 17 games the past two years, the best two- year stretch since 18 victories in ‘95-’96. Strengths - Nevada’s defense limited opponents to just 19 ppg last year and recorded 30 sacks the final nine games. Seven defensive starters return so look for another solid season. The Pack lose its leading rusher Robert Hubbard, but Brandon Fragger, who missed the final six games and Luke Lipincott will more than hold their own. The receiving core will be without its top pass catcher in Caleb Spencer, but once again there is loads of talent and speed amongst the holdovers. Weaknesses - Quarterback Jeff Rowe completed his eligibility so the position will be up for grabs between Nick Graziano and Colin Kaepernick. The defense forced 23 turnovers in league play (tops in the WAC), but loses its top two interception leaders, who combined for 10 picks last year. Bottom line - Nevada is a remarkable 15-3 (5-1 each season) at home since Chris Ault took over as head coach. Another 5-1 mark will lead the Wolf Pack to a 7-5 season and a piece of the three-way tie for third in the conference. They may not finish 10-2 ATS like they did a year ago, but should not be taken lightly even with uncertainty at the QB spot.

6) SAN JOSE STATE - The Spartans won only eight games combined in’03-’05, but went 9-4 last year, including a win in their first bowl game since 1990. Strengths - Quarterback Adam Tafralis finished 11th nationally in passing efficiency with 21 TDs and a 66% completion rate. A marked improvement from his 11 TDs and 50% completion percentage in ‘05. San Jose’s defense allowed 42.6 ppg the year before head coach Dick Tomey arrived and in two short years, the “D” cut that number in half giving up just 21 ppg in ’06. The cornerback duo of Dwight Lowery and Chris Owens led the nation with a combined 13 interceptions. Weaknesses - That CB combo must continue to perform at a high level, as the top five safeties are no longer with the team. In addition, the defense allowed 3.5 ypc or more in 10 of the 13 games. It will be interesting to see if Tafralis reverts back to his ‘05 form as San Jose State loses 78% of its completions with James Jones, John Broussard and Chester Coleman all departing. The leading returning pass catcher is fullback James Callier. Bottom line - The Spartans will not be as successful as they were last season. A 5-7 record, 4-4 in the WAC, will leave the folks in San Jose feeling empty. Play against them early and often.

7) IDAHO - With four wins last year, the Vandals had their best season since a five-win campaign back in 2000. However, head coach Dennis Erickson waved goodbye and Washington State defensive line coach Robb Akey takes over. Strengths - The defense, which finished fourth in league play in yards allowed, returns seven starters, including the top six tacklers. All-WAC cornerback Stanley Franks tied for the national lead in interceptions with nine. Weaknesses - Idaho has given up at least 4.7 ypc each of the last six seasons and the offense will be without its top three pass catchers and its quarterback. Bottom line - The lower echelon teams in the WAC usually have zero chance of upsetting the big boys, so it’s imperative to knock off the other basement dwellers. The Vandals did that last season and should do so again. They will win three games, two in conference play and by the middle of the season, will be a team to watch ATS.

8) LOUISIANA TECH - The Bulldogs finished last in the country in scoring and total defense, and won just three games after going 7-4 the previous season. Strengths - The major reason for the stumble was the loss of nine defensive starters. With 10 back this year, look for the ‘Dogs to make major strides. Remember, Louisiana Tech’s recruiting classes from ’05 and ’06 were rated near the top of the WAC. Weaknesses - L-Tech finished dead last in conference play last season turning the ball over 23 times in eight games. The defense recorded just nine sacks the entire season! Bottom line - The Bulldogs are still a year away from competing in the ever-improving WAC and will win only three games this season, two in league play. Nonetheless, L-Tech is a dark horse when it comes to betting against the spread.

9) UTAH STATE - The goal for head coach Brent Guy is to win at least two games after the Aggies posted just one “W” in the victory column last season. Strengths - Ten of the top 11 tacklers return and that doesn’t include LB Jake Hutton, who was leading the team in that department after four games, before an injury shelved him for rest of the season. Injuries also devastated the offensive line. Weaknesses - Both the offense and defense finished 117th in the nation in scoring. Last year’s leading runner Marcus Cross left the program to be closer to his family in Texas, so QB Leon Jackson is the leading returning rusher with just 105 yards! Bottom line - Utah State has a good chance to go winless this season, as the Aggies are the worst team in the country. They went 3-9 ATS in ’06 and might cover the same amount in ‘07.

Bowden enshrined into College Football Hall of Fame

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

South Bend, IN - Bobby Bowden, the winningest coach in major college football history, led a group that was enshrined into the College Football Hall of Fame on Saturday.

Other notables included former Heisman Trophy winners Mike Rozier and Charlie Ward, as well as defensive standout Bruce Smith and the NFL’s all-time leading rusher Emmitt Smith.

Bowden turned Florida State into a perennial power since taking over in 1976, guiding the Seminoles to 29 bowl appearances and a pair of national championships while accruing a staggering 286 wins in 365 games. He is the only head coach to guide an NCAA team to at least 11 straight bowl victories.

Penn State coach Joe Paterno was also enshrined as was Bruce Smith, who was a fierce defensive lineman for Virginia Tech before starting a sensational pro career with the Buffalo Bills in 1985. A two-time First-Team All-American, Smith set Hokie records for single-game sacks (four), single-season sacks (22) and career sacks (46). He made 180 career tackles during his college career from 1981-84.

Emmitt Smith had similar success on the offensive end during his playing days with the University of Florida from 1987-89. Smith set 58 school records with the Gators and amassed 3,928 yards and 36 touchdowns in just three seasons. Prior to winning three Super Bowls with the Dallas Cowboys, Smith was a unanimous First-Team All-American and an SEC Player of the Year while with the Gators.

Ward is one of the most accomplished college football players ever, winning a national championship, a Heisman Trophy and a slew of other accolades as signal-caller for Florida State from ‘91-93. He is a two-time ACC Player of the Year winner and broke 19 school records before opting to play for the New York Knicks rather than try his hand at the NFL upon graduation.

Rozier, a former Nebraska running back, ran for 2,148 yards in 1983 alone to become only the second player in NCAA history to reach the 2,000-yard plateau in a single season. He set NCAA records for single-season rushing yards per game (179) and rushing TDs (29) en route to a Heisman Trophy and Maxwell Award. Rozier played eight seasons in the NFL with the Oilers and Atlanta Falcons.

The rest of the 2006 Class consisted of running back Bobby Anderson (Colorado, 1967-69); defensive back Bennie Blades (Miami-Florida, ‘85-87); tackle Carl Eller (Minnesota, ‘61-63); defensive lineman Steve Emtman (Washington, ‘89-91); safety Thomas Everett (Baylor, ‘83-86); defensive lineman Chad Hennings (Air Force, ‘84-87); offensive lineman Chip Kell (Tennessee, ‘68-70); quarterback Mike Phipps (Purdue, ‘67-69); and linebacker Jeff Siemon (Stanford, ‘68-71)