Philadelphia (26-24) leads the NL in runs scored and its .267 batting average ranks third in the league. The Phillies outscored the Atlanta Braves 27-13 and hit .310 during a three-game sweep over the weekend, scoring a season high in runs in Sunday’s 13-6 victory.
The Diamondbacks (29-23) rank only 12th in the NL with a .254 batting average, but their offense is also showing signs of coming around. Arizona outscored the Houston Astros 35-12 and hit .368 during a four-game sweep, culminating with an 8-4 win in Sunday’s finale.
Doug Davis (2-6, 3.57 ERA) went seven innings in his last start on Wednesday, holding Colorado to two runs and six hits, but lost 2-0. The left-hander has gotten just three total runs of support in his last five starts, going 0-4 with a 4.34 ERA during that stretch.
Freddy Garcia (1-3, 4.81) opposed Davis three weeks ago, and will do so again Monday. Garcia also gave up two runs over six innings in that meeting - one of only three quality starts in his eight outings this season.
He allowed three runs over six innings in Wednesday’s 8-7, 10-inning victory over Florida.
The right-hander, who hasn’t recorded a victory in more than a month, has a 2.08 ERA in two career starts versus the Diamondbacks, but has yet to earn a decision against them.
Arizona took two of three games between these teams May 7-9, but the Phillies have won six of the last eight meetings at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia, which is opening a seven-game homestand, is trying to win its sixth consecutive home series.
Neither side has great value in this one both coming off sweeps, even though I give the edge in talent here to the Dbacks who from top to bottom are the more solid team, especailly with the young talent coming up.
The value in this one is on the total. Doug Davis coming in with a projected era of 6.56 and former M’s pitcher Freddy Garcia 4.13
For Pizza take the OVER 9.5 in this one
Good Luck,
Tommy Mac
Tommy Mac’s Freebie Pizza Plays are “What I will be watching on TV tonight” as posted on Graffiti Wall blogs and askthebookie.com
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