Pizza Play Marlins vs Brewers - 8:05 est
Thursday, May 31st, 2007
Milwaukee (29-24) had a 2-1 lead over Atlanta in the seventh before four relievers combined to give up eight runs in the last two innings of a 9-3 loss on Wednesday.
The NL Central-leading Brewers lost two of three to the Braves and have dropped 14 of 19 overall after a 24-10 start. They have lost six straight series after winning 10 of their first 11.
Claudio Vargas (3-1, 4.01 ERA), who will start for the Brewers tonight, is 2-2 with a 6.35 ERA in four starts against the Marlins.
Vargas, though, was solid in a start against Florida on April 10, yielding two runs in six innings while striking out nine before Milwaukee won 3-2 in 13 innings. The right-hander, though, is 0-1 with a 7.04 ERA in his last three starts after being reached for four runs and a season-high 10 hits in 5 1-3 innings of a 6-3 defeat to San Diego on Saturday night.
Florida’s Wes Obermueller (1-3, 5.28 ERA) will be making his first start against the Brewers, with whom he played from 2003-05.
Obermueller was terrible in his last outing, giving up seven runs and eight hits in four innings as Florida lost 7-2 to the New York Mets on Saturday night, raising his ERA more than one-and-a-half runs.
On paper no question the Brewers send the better pitcher to the mound tonight with Vargas coming in with a projected era in this contest at 5.99 and a current era of 3.61, but what about the psyche of this team? Now, even the Milwaukee Brewers’ bullpen is cracking up.
Obermueller got rocked his last time out and comes in with a projected era for this one at 9.69 and a current era of 5.61. But he knows he has the better sticks on his side, even though the fish are prone to errors especially at third base. I think the Brewers are way over priced here.
For Pizza I’ll back the Fish +152 Money to the OVER 9.5
Good Luck,
Tommy Mac
BET THE MARLINS +152 & OVER 9.5 (HERE)
Tommy Mac’s Freebie Pizza Plays are “What I will be watching on TV tonight” as posted on Graffiti Wall blogs and askthebookie.com
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